Abstract: Aedes albopictus
(Diptera; Culicidae) is a highly invasive mosquito species and a
competent vector of several arboviral diseases that have spread rapidly
throughout the world. Prevalence and patterns of dispersal of the
mosquito are of central importance for an effective control of the
species. We used site-occupancy models accounting for false negative
detections to estimate the prevalence, the turnover, the movement
pattern and the growth rate in the number of sites occupied by the
mosquito in 17 localities throughout Mallorca Island. Site-occupancy probability
increased from 0.35 in the 2012, year of first reported observation of
the species, to 0.89 in 2015. Despite a steady increase in mosquito
presence, the extinction probability was generally high indicating a
high turnover in the occupied sites. We considered two site-dependent
covariates, namely the distance from the point of first observation and
the estimated yearly occupancy rate in the neighborhood, as predicted by
diffusion models. Results suggested that mosquito distribution during
the first year was consistent with what predicted by simple diffusion
models, but was not consistent with the diffusion model in subsequent
years when it was similar to those expected from leapfrog dispersal
events. Assuming a single initial colonization event, the spread of Ae. albopictus
in Mallorca followed two distinct phases, an early one consistent with
diffusion movements and a second consistent with long distance,
‘leapfrog’, movements. The colonization of the island was fast, with
~90% of the sites estimated to be occupied 3 years after the
colonization. The fast spread was likely to have occurred through
vectors related to human mobility such as cars or other vehicles.
Surveillance and management actions near the introduction point would
only be effective during the early steps of the colonization.
The Bloooooog!
domingo, 17 de septiembre de 2017
New publication on Tiger Mosquito range expansion !
Tavecchia, G., Miranda, M.-A., Borrás, D., Bengoa, M., Barceló, C. Paredes-Esquivel, C. and Schwarz, C. 2017 Modelling the range expansion of the Tiger mosquito in a Mediterranean Island accounting for imperfect detection Frontiers in Zoology, 14:39-49 doi. 10.1186/s12983-017-0217-x
Abstract: Aedes albopictus
(Diptera; Culicidae) is a highly invasive mosquito species and a
competent vector of several arboviral diseases that have spread rapidly
throughout the world. Prevalence and patterns of dispersal of the
mosquito are of central importance for an effective control of the
species. We used site-occupancy models accounting for false negative
detections to estimate the prevalence, the turnover, the movement
pattern and the growth rate in the number of sites occupied by the
mosquito in 17 localities throughout Mallorca Island. Site-occupancy probability
increased from 0.35 in the 2012, year of first reported observation of
the species, to 0.89 in 2015. Despite a steady increase in mosquito
presence, the extinction probability was generally high indicating a
high turnover in the occupied sites. We considered two site-dependent
covariates, namely the distance from the point of first observation and
the estimated yearly occupancy rate in the neighborhood, as predicted by
diffusion models. Results suggested that mosquito distribution during
the first year was consistent with what predicted by simple diffusion
models, but was not consistent with the diffusion model in subsequent
years when it was similar to those expected from leapfrog dispersal
events. Assuming a single initial colonization event, the spread of Ae. albopictus
in Mallorca followed two distinct phases, an early one consistent with
diffusion movements and a second consistent with long distance,
‘leapfrog’, movements. The colonization of the island was fast, with
~90% of the sites estimated to be occupied 3 years after the
colonization. The fast spread was likely to have occurred through
vectors related to human mobility such as cars or other vehicles.
Surveillance and management actions near the introduction point would
only be effective during the early steps of the colonization.
Abstract: Aedes albopictus
(Diptera; Culicidae) is a highly invasive mosquito species and a
competent vector of several arboviral diseases that have spread rapidly
throughout the world. Prevalence and patterns of dispersal of the
mosquito are of central importance for an effective control of the
species. We used site-occupancy models accounting for false negative
detections to estimate the prevalence, the turnover, the movement
pattern and the growth rate in the number of sites occupied by the
mosquito in 17 localities throughout Mallorca Island. Site-occupancy probability
increased from 0.35 in the 2012, year of first reported observation of
the species, to 0.89 in 2015. Despite a steady increase in mosquito
presence, the extinction probability was generally high indicating a
high turnover in the occupied sites. We considered two site-dependent
covariates, namely the distance from the point of first observation and
the estimated yearly occupancy rate in the neighborhood, as predicted by
diffusion models. Results suggested that mosquito distribution during
the first year was consistent with what predicted by simple diffusion
models, but was not consistent with the diffusion model in subsequent
years when it was similar to those expected from leapfrog dispersal
events. Assuming a single initial colonization event, the spread of Ae. albopictus
in Mallorca followed two distinct phases, an early one consistent with
diffusion movements and a second consistent with long distance,
‘leapfrog’, movements. The colonization of the island was fast, with
~90% of the sites estimated to be occupied 3 years after the
colonization. The fast spread was likely to have occurred through
vectors related to human mobility such as cars or other vehicles.
Surveillance and management actions near the introduction point would
only be effective during the early steps of the colonization.
viernes, 15 de septiembre de 2017
Gull tracking on the news (2) !
José Manuel Igual speaks about the Yellow-Legged Gull study at Dragonera Natural Park to the "Mallorca Zeitung" (text in German).
lunes, 11 de septiembre de 2017
New publication on Storm Petrel population dynamics !
Matović, N, Cadiou, B, Oro, D. and Sanz-Aguilar A. 2017. Disentangling the effects of predation and oceanographic fluctuations in the mortality of two allopatric seabird populations
Population Ecology, 59:225–238, doi: 10.1007/s10144-017-0590-5
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| Photo By A. Caldas (Flickr) |
Abstract : Life-history traits of migratory seabirds are influenced by changing conditions at breeding and wintering grounds. Climatic conditions and predation are known to impact populations’ survival rates, but few studies examine their effect simultaneously. We used multievent capture–recapture models to assess mortality due to environmental conditions and predation in breeding European storm petrels (Hydrobates pelagicus) in two allopatriccolonies (Mediterranean and Atlantic). Predatory mortality at the colonies showed annual variation, being around 0.05 in certain years. Mortality at sea differed between the two oceanic basins, and was lower in the Mediterranean colony [0.11, 95% CI (0.09, 0.14)] when compared to the Atlantic colony [0.18, 95% CI (0.15, 0.22)]. The Western Mediterranean Oscillation index (WeMOi) explained 57%of the temporal variability in mortality of Mediterranean breeders. In comparison, 43% of the temporal variability in mortality of Atlantic breeders was explained by the winter St Helena index (wHIX) and El Niño-Southern Oscillation index (wENSO). Our results suggest that Mediterraneanbreeders remain in this basin for wintering where they may face lower migratory costs and more favourable environmental conditions. In contrast, Atlantic breeders’ mortality may be due to higher cost of migration, changing upwelling conditions in the Benguela current and heavy storms over their migratory route during La Niña events. This study underlines the importance of modelling separately different causes of mortality when testing the effects of climatic covariates.
martes, 1 de agosto de 2017
New Publication on Ferreret, the Majorcan midwife toad !
Pinya, S., Tavecchia,G. and Valentín Pérez-Mellado, V. Population model of an endangered amphibian: implications for conservation management Endangered Species Research, 34: 123–130, doi.org/10.3354/esr00835
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| From Wikipedia.com |
of demographic parameters to assess population state or trends are scarce or absent.
robust estimates of adult apparent survival of the endemic Majorcan midwife toad Alytes muletensis using individual capture-recapture data collected over 4 yr in a 60 m2 cistern. Moreover, we combined the vital rates into a stage-structured population model to estimate the ex pected longterm growth rate of the population. Apparent survival estimates of males and females were similar (0.737 ± 0.042 and 0.726 ± 0.045, respectively) indicating that the egg-carrying behavior of males, typical of this species, does not reduce its survival probability. We found evidence of a low local survival of juveniles compared with adults, most likely due to permanent dispersal. Adult population size estimation provided higher tadpole:adult ratios than previously reported for this endangered species, suggesting an overestimation of the previous adult population size. Model projections suggested a stable population, since λ, the expected asymptotic growth rate of the population, was close to 1.00.
Full text here
lunes, 24 de julio de 2017
Shearwaters at night : the video !
Camera-traps reveal the territorial behaviour of nesting Cory's Shearwater.
Stay tuned for more videos
lunes, 10 de julio de 2017
Upcoming CMRR workshop 2017. Apply now !
Workshop on Capture-Mark-Recapture and -Recovery analysis 2017 : you can subscribe now!
The introductory course aims to introduce students, researchers and environmental managers to the theory and practical aspects of the analysis of capture-mark-recapture and –recovery.
We will focus on how to estimate survival, recruitment and dispersal probabilities in natural populations.
The course is based on theoretical classes as well as practical sessions with real and simulated data.
No previous knowledge on capture-mark-recapture or capture-mark-recovery analyses is necessary.
If you want to subscribe send message to : g.tavecchia-at-uib.es
For more information on the program and course payment : http://populationecologygroup.blogspot.com.es/p/workshop.html
The introductory course aims to introduce students, researchers and environmental managers to the theory and practical aspects of the analysis of capture-mark-recapture and –recovery.
We will focus on how to estimate survival, recruitment and dispersal probabilities in natural populations. 
The course is based on theoretical classes as well as practical sessions with real and simulated data. No previous knowledge on capture-mark-recapture or capture-mark-recovery analyses is necessary.
If you want to subscribe send message to : g.tavecchia-at-uib.es
For more information on the program and course payment : http://populationecologygroup.blogspot.com.es/p/workshop.html
miércoles, 5 de julio de 2017
Storm Petrel Day ended
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| Photo D. Revenga |
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| B Massa & A Sanz (Photo: D. Revenga) |
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