Oro, D. 2014. Seabirds and climate: knowledge, pitfalls, and opportunities. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution. doi: 10.3389/fevo.2014.00079
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Foto: P. Arcos |
As a physical driver of ecosystem functioning, it is not surprising that
climate influences seabird demography and population dynamics,
generally by affecting food availability. However, if we zoom in
ecologically, seabirds are in fact very heterogeneous, ranging in size
from very small to very large species (with a
difference of more than
two orders of magnitude in body weight), from planktivorous forms to
predators of large fish and squid, from benthic to pelagic, from species
with small foraging ranges to species feeding throughout the whole
circumpolar region, and from resident species (at a spatial mesoscale)
to trans-equatorial migrating seabirds that travel large distances
across several oceanographic systems. Due to this high variability and
the difficulty in obtaining direct reliable estimates of long-term food
availability, global climatic indices have been extensively used in
studying seabird demography and population dynamics. However, the use
made by researchers of these indices has certain conceptual and
methodological pitfalls, which I shall address in this review. Other
factors, such as anthropogenic impacts (including oil-spills and
interaction with fisheries), may further alter or confound the
association between climate and seabird demography. These pitfalls and
environmental noise, together with the inability to incorporate
resilience, may bias our predictions regarding the future impact of
global warming on seabirds, many of which have vulnerable populations.