Abstract: Current climatic changes have increased the need to forecast population
responses to climate variability. A common approach to address this
question is through models that project current population state using
the functional relationship between demographic rates and climatic
variables. We argue that this approach can lead to erroneous conclusions
when interpopulation dispersal is not considered. We found that
immigration can release the population from climate-driven trajectories
even when local vital rates are climate dependent. We illustrated this
using individual-based data on a trans-equatorial migratory seabird, the
Scopoli's shearwater Calonectris diomedea, in which the
variation of vital rates has been associated with large-scale climatic
indices. We compared the population annual growth rate λi, estimated using local climate-driven parameters with ρi, a population growth rate directly estimated from individual information and that accounts for immigration. While λi varied as a function of climatic variables, reflecting the climate-dependent parameters, ρi
did not, indicating that dispersal decouples the relationship between
population growth and climate variables from that between climatic
variables and vital rates. Our results suggest caution when assessing
demographic effects of climatic variability especially in open
populations for very mobile organisms such as fish, marine mammals,
bats, or birds. When a population model cannot be validated or it is not
detailed enough, ignoring immigration might lead to misleading
climate-driven projections.
miércoles, 6 de julio de 2016
New Publication on the role of dispersal in animal populations
Tavecchia, G., Tenan, S., Pradel, R., Igual, J.-M., Genovart, M. and Oro, D. 2016 : Climatic-driven vital rates do not always mean climate-driven population. Global Change Biology. doi
lunes, 13 de junio de 2016
Scopoli's Shearwaters: new press release and radio interview !
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| Photo Ana Sanz-Aguilar |
J.-M. Igual (GEP) and M. McMinn on Shearwater management actions at "Balears Fa Ciència" is here (from 10').
martes, 31 de mayo de 2016
Spring 2016 campaign on Lilford's lizard ended!
The 2016 spring campaign on Lilford's lizard ended last week. It has been a difficult one, with many days of bad weather and several unexpected problems with boat and logisitc....but hey, this is job. Populations reached a very low level, but it seems there will be many new recruits in October. Thank to the many people from the GEP who gave their help.
domingo, 29 de mayo de 2016
First long tracks from Dragonera
Etiquetas:
GSM/GPS,
movements,
tracking,
Yellow legged gull
viernes, 6 de mayo de 2016
The YLG 2016 campaign ended !
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| Photo: J. Bos |
| Photo G. Tavecchia: A gull equipped with a GSM/GPS device |
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| Photo J. Bos. |
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| Photo J. Bos: A gull defending its nest |
Gulls use to attack intruders, especially near the hatching period. It is a good occasion to make some pictures and read the ring.
Can you read the ring code?
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| Photo J. Bos: Gulls behind a trawler |
jueves, 28 de abril de 2016
New Publication on the rescue effect in Scopoli's Shearwaters !
Sanz-Aguilar, A.; Igual, J.M.; Tavecchia, G.; Genovart, M; Oro, D. 2016. When immigration mask threats: The rescue effect of a Scopoli’s shearwater colony in the Western Mediterranean as a case study. Biological Conservation, 198, 33–36. doi:10.1016/j.biocon.2016.03.034
Abstract: Populations of long-lived species are highly sensitive to increases in
mortality, but a loss of breeders can be compensated for by recruitment
of local individuals or immigrants. Populations maintained through
immigration can be sinks, jeopardizing the viability of the
metapopulation in the long term when additive mortality from
anthropogenic impacts occurs. Thus, the correct identification of
whether a breeding population is maintained by local recruitment or by
immigration is of special importance for conservation purposes. We
developed robust population models to disentangle the importance of
local recruitment and immigration in the dynamics of a Western
Mediterranean population of Scopoli's shearwater Calonectris diomedea
showing low adult survival but stable breeding numbers. Our results
show that the shearwater population is not self-maintained but rescued
by immigration: yearly immigrants recruiting in the population
represents ~ 10–12% of total population size. We believe that this
situation may be common to other Western Mediterranean populations,
currently acting as sinks. We recommend urgent demographic studies at
large core colonies to evaluate the global conservation status of the
species.
A press release of the publication has just appeared. You can read the spanish version here
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| Photo: M. Gomila |
A press release of the publication has just appeared. You can read the spanish version here
miércoles, 20 de abril de 2016
Stage at the G.E.P.
Julia Bos joined the GEP for her Erasmus+ stage. She will be investigating the within-colony differences in egg volume, clutch size, movements and spatial structure of the Yellow Legged Gull at Dragonera Island. Welcome Julia.
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