Tomillo, P., Saba, V. S., Lombard, C. D., Valiulis, J. M., Robinson, N. J., Paladino, F.V., Spotila, J. R., Fernández, C., Rivas, M.L., Tucek, J., Nel, R. nd Oro, D. 2015. Global analysis of the effect of local climate on the hatchling output of leatherback turtles. Scientific Report, DOI: 10.1038/srep16789
|
Photo from www.seeturtles.org |
Summary: The most recent climate change projections show a global increase in temperatures along with
precipitation changes throughout the 21st century. However, regional projections do not always
match global projections and species with global distributions may exhibit varying regional
susceptibility to climate change. Here we show the effect of local climatic conditions on the hatchling
output of leatherback turtles (Dermochelys coriacea) at four nesting sites encompassing the Pacific,
Atlantic and Indian Oceans. We found a heterogeneous effect of climate. Hatchling output increased
with long-term precipitation in areas with dry climatic conditions (Playa Grande, Pacific Ocean and
Sandy Point, Caribbean Sea), but the effect varied in areas where precipitation was high (Pacuare,
Caribbean Sea) and was not detected at the temperate site (Maputaland, Indian Ocean). High air
temperature reduced hatchling output only at the area experiencing seasonal droughts (Playa
Grande). Climatic projections showed a drastic increase in air temperature and a mild decrease
in precipitation at all sites by 2100. The most unfavorable conditions were projected for Sandy
Point where hatching success has already declined over time along with precipitation levels. The
heterogeneous effect of climate may lead to local extinctions of leatherback turtles in some areas
but survival in others by 2100.
No hay comentarios:
Publicar un comentario